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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has launched a preemptive attack on moves to curb investor tax concessions, such as negative gearing and the 50% capital gains tax (CGT) discount. Chief economist Tim Reardon claimed that “investors are vital to the goal of increasing housing stock”, claiming that “investors typically supply around a third of all

The post Housing industry nonsensical on negative gearing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Thank god, other states are fighting off Victoria disease. A controversial plan to stave off looming east coast gas shortfalls by underwriting new LNG import terminals has been indefinitely delayed as interstate disagreements and a broader overhaul of the market could push back the need for overseas sources. The Victorian-led proposal, which has yet to

The post Will the gas cartel create an Australian civil war? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:27 Source

The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), released on Tuesday, forecast that the unemployment rate would decline back to 4.2% before rising gradually to 4.3% over the forward estimates. Today, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the July Labour Force survey, which posted a bounce back in

The post Unemployment falls in line with RBA appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:21 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 12:00 Source

At the end of 2024, CoreLogic (now Cotality) estimated that Australians were paying a record percentage of their income to rent the median property. According to Cotality’s most recent quarterly rental report, national median rents have risen by 43% over the last five years, causing the average tenant household to pay an additional $10,350 per

The post Migration rebound dire news for Australian tenants appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The robots are all in on the AI bubble, but humans are not. The Market Ear. Much more room Equity allocation according to FMS has risen, but we are way below extreme levels. Source: BofA Still depressed Goldman’s equity sentiment indicator of positioning remains depressed. Source: GS Refusing Non dealers continue to refuse buying the

The post AI bubble to the moon! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Last week, the ABC reported that within the Albanese government there were two very different approaches to the productivity round table scheduled for later this month. “One camp doubts that a cautious Albanese has much inclination to take on a controversial new policy—and questions whether “consensus” can be achieved with business and unions appearing poles

The post Can Labor survive continued inaction from Albo? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous complex continues on its merry seasonal way. We ought to be near some kind of top here. The price is high enough to draw Indian ore back into the seaborne market, which will immediately have to be pushed back out again once Simandou starts up in November. The seasonal patterns, which are very

The post Iron ore bumps the upper limit appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Australia’s economy suffered a lost decade in the 2010s amid the collapse in per capita GDP and productivity growth. This decade is shaping up as another lost decade, with the economy trapped in a long per capita recession amid the worst labour productivity growth in the advanced world. The August Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP)

The post Another lost decade beckons for Australians appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:30 Source

We’ve gone from avoiding the only productivity question that matters, the impacts of mass immigration on capital shallowing. To a vested interest scramble. To the do-nothing PM shutting it all down. It’s a farce, as it was always going to be, and now we’re focused on just one thing: meeting the centrally planned dwelling construction

The post Productivity roundtable turns housing hampster wheel appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:05 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:03 Source

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 09:00 Source

A staid night on the economic calendar with Wall Street closing at new record highs while European stocks played catchup as it seems the impact of US inflation is being discounted sharply by market players while the Fed continues to signal caution. The USD remains on the ropes against all the majors with Euro hitting

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 06:41 Source

The ANZUS Treaty is America’s instrument of political, diplomatic, and military coercion. And it is a clear and present danger to the strategic security of Russia and friends of the Russian people.

 

ANZUS and the dangers to Russia

BY Simon Westwood

 

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 05:55 Source

WHAT FOLLOWS IS NOTHING NEW... TO SOME EXTEND IT IS ERRONEOUS BY GENERALISATION OF HUMAN INTELLIGENCE. WE HAVE TO SAY SOME HUMANS HAVE THE CAPACITY TO UNDERSTAND AND LEAD WHILE OTHERS "COME ALONG FOR THE RIDE"... THIS HAS BEEN THE CASE SINCE HOMO SAPIENS FELL FROM ITS TREE AND WALKED THE GRASSY PLAINS....

Evidence is piling up that the human brain can no longer keep up with the overshoot crisis which human greed has engendered.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 04:44 Source

 

Zelenskyy and Europe agree five principles for peace deal with Russia

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said that Ukraine's European allies have agreed on five main requirements for a peace deal with Russia.

"We want President Donald Trump to be successful in Anchorage on Friday," Merz said following the virtual call he organized ahead of Trump's Alaska summit with Putin.

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Your Democracy Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 04:14 Source

The European Commission is plotting to help oust Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban over what it considers his overly independent policy, according to Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR).

The Hungarian leader has repeatedly clashed with Brussels in recent years, opposing EU military aid to Ukraine and Kiev’s bid to join the bloc.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, August 14, 2025 - 00:05 Source

OECD data shows that Australia has experienced the largest decline in real per capita household disposable incomes in the developed world. The March quarter national accounts release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that annual real per capita household disposable income was tracking 8.2% below its Q2 2022 peak: Tuesday’s Statement of Monetary

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Your Democracy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 19:48 Source

111 years ago the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria became the pretext for the butchery of World War I. 

A teenage Serbian revolutionary shot Archduke Franz Ferdinand, the presumptive heir to the Austro-Hungarian throne, and his wife Sophie on their visit to the Bosnian capital of Sarajevo.

 

BY GUS LEONISKY

 

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 19:38 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 16:00 Source

Asian share markets are generally boisterous in correlation with the equally euphoric Wall Street which was able to swing a higher domestic inflation print into an increased probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. Currency-land remains stagnant however with the USD losing out against most of the majors as Euro

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 15:19 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 15:07 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 14:06 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are massively subsidised in Australia. The Fringe Benefits Tax (FBT) exemption for BEVs costs the federal government more than $500 million in lost tax revenue each year—a figure that will increase alongside the take-up of BEVs. Under the FBT exemption, somebody leasing a $60,000 car can save more than $12,000 per

The post Trouble ahead for EV sales appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Honestly, we couldn’t cook a snag at a barbie, these days. Ross Gittins has finally discovered Australia’s number one economic problem. Or, rather, he’s aping someone else’s take. SMH. Earlier this year, the boss of the Australia Institute, Dr Richard Denniss, caused a stir by claiming that the government takes more money from uni students

The post Aussie gas madness intensifies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 13:03 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 13:00 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, August 13, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Albo is not a policy coward. He is a do-nothing backroom bovver boy with the economic instincts of a brick. Jim Chalmers knows better what to do, but he is a policy coward. It is a worst-case scenario for living standards. AFR. Anthony Albanese and Jim Chalmers held private talks to agree on the need

The post How the RBA could fix productivity in two words appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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