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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Trump administration announced on Friday, Australian time, that Australia would be subject to the baseline 10% tariff. The result was positive news, reflecting that Australia is one of the few countries with a large deficit to the USA, importing more than double the goods and services we export to the US. Australia also has

The post Trump’s tariffs won’t dent Australia’s economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Victoria disease is metastasising: The economies of Victoria’s neighbouring states may be the real winners of Premier Jacinta Allan’s plan to enshrine in law the right to work from home, as businesses eye a possible move across the border, the peak business bodies in Labor-led NSW and South Australia say. Ms Allan announced on Saturday

The post Welcome to Helbourne the happy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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THE BLOT REPORT Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 11:08 Source

The Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II is an American single-seat, single-engine, supersonic stealth strike fighter. It is a multirole combat aircraft designed for both air superiority and strike missions, it also has electronic warfare and intelligence gathering capability1.

The Royal Australian Air Force has obtained 72 F35s and these are primarily based at Williamtown air base near Newcastle, with some being operated from Tindal air base in the Northern Territory. Numerous parts for the aircraft are also manufactured in Australia2.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Higher-priced properties are typically the most volatile and sensitive to changes in interest rates. This volatility is illustrated by CBA below, which plots quarterly dwelling value growth for the most expensive homes against the least expensive homes. This greater volatility reflects the fact that the market for the most expensive homes is thinner and when

The post First home buyers squeezed by soaring prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Ferrous pulling a Costanza in the last few days. Goldman remains bearish. While fundamentals are likely to remain supportive (specifically, consumption), providing a floor at $95/t, we expect stimulus headlines and anti-innovation policy- which drove the July short-covering rally – to disappoint. The readout from the July Politburo meeting was broadly in line with our

The post Iron ore to keep on falling appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Last month the ABS announced that it would not be releasing the 2023-24 Survey of Income and Housing due to data collection issues. In the ABS’ own words: “Despite work to address these issues, the data did not meet the ABS’ high standards for official statistics and will not be released. This decision means that

The post Australia’s economic statistics fly blind appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 09:44 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Perhaps the most enduring mystery dogging the Albanese government is why it has taken no action to reduce gas prices. This one reform is such low-hanging fruit, so easy to do, with such immense economic upside, that the failure to act upon it is the single most toxic symptom of Australian political failure in the

The post Everybody wants to kill the gas cartel appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 09:15 Source

While the overall seat numbers in the Tasmanian House of Assembly have been very stable, that disguises more changes at the level of the individual MP.

For today’s post I am going to look at the statistics for how many MPs were replaced at each Tasmanian election, and how 2025 compares to the historical trend: MPs retiring before or at the election, or losing their seat, either to another party or to their own.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street rebounded overnight in what looked like a short covering exercise but barely managed to cover the Friday night losses while the USD remains on the ropes as it only moved higher against Swiss Franc as the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates much sooner increases. US Treasuries again saw further moves lower across

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 08:55 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 08:53 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The latest temporary visa data for Q2 2025 from the Department of Home Affairs shows that the total number of student visas on issue in Australia fell marginally to 592,342, down from 608,262 a year prior. However, the slight fall in temporary student visas on issue was offset by the rise in graduate visas, which

The post Axe falls on private college ‘visa factories’ appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 06:15 Source

Moscow believes that conditions for maintaining the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty with the US have “disappeared” and “no longer considers itself bound” by it, according to a statement from the Russian Foreign Ministry.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 05:55 Source

The Kremlin has urged caution in making public statements involving nuclear weapons, following US President Donald Trump’s announcement that he has ordered the redeployment of two American nuclear submarines.

Last week, Trump said the vessels had been moved to “the appropriate regions” as a precautionary measure. The announcement came via his Truth Social platform.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 5, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) national accounts showed that Australia’s manufacturing sector comprised a record low share of GDP. In Q1 2025, manufacturing’s percentage of GDP decreased to 5.1%, down from 8.9% two decades ago and 15% in the mid-1970s. Australia has the smallest manufacturing share in the OECD, making it one of

The post Australian manufacturing is dying and nobody cares appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, August 4, 2025 - 20:24 Source
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Club Troppo Monday, August 4, 2025 - 18:04 Source

This is becoming a series. The point is that public figures now routinely refuse to engage with counter-arguments. I have another one not yet written about Nobel Laureate Brian Schmidt who did not respond to three polite emails from me. The latest intellectual weakling is Liz Allen, who is the go to pro-population growth demographer with media training (taking over from Peter MacDonald).

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MacroBusiness Monday, August 4, 2025 - 16:30 Source

The fallout from Friday night’s terrible – or beautiful depending on your alternative facts – US jobs print has seen most Asian share markets come back slightly while Wall Street looks set to lick its wounds on the open tonight. The USD remains on the run after falling sharply against the majors on Friday night

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, August 4, 2025 - 14:31 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, August 4, 2025 - 14:13 Source

 Empire Energy).

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Renew Economy Monday, August 4, 2025 - 14:07 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, August 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The ACTU has used its submission to the federal government’s upcoming economic roundtable to call for negative gearing and the 50% capital gains tax (CGT) concession to be restricted to a single property. The ACTU also wants a 25% “energy levy” to be imposed on LNG exports, for millionaires and family trusts to pay at

The post ACTU pushes right policy buttons appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, August 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Canada experienced a boom in temporary migrants over recent years, which helped drive up rental inflation to astonishing levels. As a result, temporary migrants hit a record 7% share of Canada’s population in mid-2024, which the government has promised to reduce to 5% by the end of 2027. Now spare a thought for Australia, whose

The post Australia has too many temporary migrants appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, August 4, 2025 - 13:24 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, August 4, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Anti-Americanism is an irrational bias. It’s a bit like racism. A prejudice against a people stemming from phobia, not reason. Australians suffer from it a lot, owing to the chip on their shoulder, none more so than Peter Lewis at The Guardian. That deal was to allow Australia to access US-UK nuclear technology delivering long-range

The post Peter Lewis welcomes his new Chinese overlord appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, August 4, 2025 - 12:55 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, August 4, 2025 - 12:30 Source

It’s thrust and counter-thrust in the great rent-seeking debate of our time: The PC has launched its allegedly radical plan to boost productivity via cash flow tax.  The Productivity Commission has revealed an ambitious plan to slash the income tax rate to 20% for all but the very largest Australian companies. For businesses earning between

The post The war for productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, August 4, 2025 - 12:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, August 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Victoria disease is killing Australia. The malady of permanent Labor governments leading to excessive immigration, falling living standards via the labour market expansion economic model, woke policy fixations, and capitulation to China is fatal in the long run. Alas, the primary symptom of the disease is brainwashing, so nobody can see it, let alone cure

The post Victoria disease infects foreign policy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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