Recently, it was revealed that the membership ranks of the Liberal Party were plummeting, with one party source claiming that the biggest party expense at the local level was “funeral wreaths”. Twenty years ago, in Victoria, the Liberal Party had approximately 15,000 members. Today, more recent figures indicate that the state’s party membership stands at
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The Market Ear with more on the hated rally. Still little chatter… …about ATHs. SPX practically at range highs. Let’s see how this plays out from here, but an extension of the squeeze is not consensus. FOMO risk is huge. Source: LSEG Workspace NDX seasonality “We are entering positive seasonality for the NDX. Over the last 25
Once upon a time, the immigration intake into Australia was a mostly benign issue, with the intake as a proportion of the population largely ebbing and flowing in a relatively limited range, consistent with the underlying conditions present in the economy. There were exceptions to this, most notably the return of servicemen and women following
The two-party-preferred vote is the simplest statistic we have in Australian elections – just two numbers that always add up to 100%. While it has reduced relevance for calculating the result in some seats, it still has predictive power and also plays a role as a sort of barometer of the relative popularity of the two major parties. Despite the increase in the vote for minor parties and independents, the choice of who forms government is still binary.
Via the ABS. CPI analytical series Seasonally adjusted 2.4 2.4 2.1 CPI excluding volatile items* and holiday travel 2.6 2.8 2.7 Annual trimmed mean 2.7 2.8 2.4 Two basis points under market expectations. The chart: Trimmed mean inflation is also running well behind the RBA’s forecasts, as illustrated below by Alex Joiner from IFM Investors:
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Geoff Wilson, founder of Wilson Asset Management, stepped up his attack on the Albanese government’s proposed tax on unrealised superannuation capital gains, which he labelled “unfair” and “un-Australian”. The proposed policy would increase the earnings tax on superannuation balances of $3 million or more from the current 15% to 30% without indexation. It would also
The ferrous market does not look well to me. Scuttlebutt is pretty good. The benchmark July iron ore on the Singapore Exchange was 0.15% higher at $93.65 a ton. Hot metal production, a gauge of iron ore demand, inched up 0.24% week-on-week to 2.422 million tons, as of June 20, according to data from Chinese
The gas cartel shills are in gear for the Santos takeover, according to the AFR. “The opportunity is there to leverage a far better outcome for the domestic energy market through a highly conditional approval – not just an undertaking to do things some time in the future. No, from day one, you rectify the
In the 2022 state budget, the former Queensland Labor government blindsided the coal industry by unexpectedly introducing two new tiers of coal royalties. This included a top tier of 40% for coal prices above $ 300 per tonne, effectively a mild super-profits tax. The unexpected announcement was a stroke of political genius, as it caught the
DXY appears ready to crack. I would say this will be its last leg down before Fed cuts arrive and do the opposite later this year. AUD is being powered by the big short. Apparent in CFTC. Lead boots are not much help, though. I’m a seller into the next god leg higher. Oil bottomed
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