Financial markets believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will deliver another three 25 bp cuts to the official cash rate (OCR) in 2025, taking the OCR to 3.10% by year end. However, the market ascribed roughly a 70% probability of the RBA cutting the OCR at its next meeting in July. Belinda Allen,
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Greens leader Larissa Waters has indicated that its party room has yet to decide whether it will support the federal government’s proposed superannuation tax reforms. The Greens are set to hold the balance of power in the Senate from 1 July, so Labor will depend on their votes to pass legislation. The Greens had expressed
Keir Starmer has accidentally given us four years in which to build a new political system. We should seize the chance.
By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 27th May 2025
This feels terminal. The breaches of trust have been so frequent, so vast and so decisive that the voters Labour has already lost are unlikely to return. In one forum after another, I hear the same sentiments: “I voted for change, not the same or worse.” “I’ve voted Labour all my life, but that’s it for me.” “I feel I’ve been had.”
Tonight I will be appearing on DFA Live with Martin North from 8.00pm AEST, where we will discuss everything to do with the housing market and economy. The YouTube feed is below. I hope to see you there.
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A lot of macro events and geopolitics hit risk markets today but was mostly absorbed outside of currencies as the USD hit a six week low on a combination of the burgeoning world wide trade war started by the Trump regime and the growing slowdown in the domestic US economy. The latest Chinese manufacturing figures
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The NSW and Victorian governments are urging the Albanese government to use its large election mandate to revamp the GST system. The then Turnbull government agreed in 2016 to what has been dubbed a ‘sweetheart deal’ with Western Australia, which is slated to cost taxpayers $60 billion over 11 years. This deal set a floor
We have a terrible living standards problem owing to our immigration-led, labour market expansion economic model, which devours productivity. On the other hand, we have a technological breakthrough that is all about productivity (in theory, anyway). There are two versions of AI developing – those with global tech businesses who already have a foot in