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Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Friday, May 30, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous complex continues to fade away with steel in the lead. CISA output is now down year on year.   The inevitable looms. Reuters. Also, speculation of incoming capacity limits were backed by Baosteel stating that total mainland production could fall by 50 million tons this year. There is no spur to a stronger

The post Axe hovers over iron ore appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 30, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Former Treasury Secretary Ken Henry’s recent interview with Joe Walker explained how the structural decline in capital deepening has driven the decline in Australia’s productivity growth: [Capital deepening] makes each hour worked more productive, right?.. And capital deepening is obviously driven by having a rate of national investment that is matched to the rate of workforce

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xkcd.com Friday, May 30, 2025 - 10:00 Source

They say it's probably safe to keep orbiting for a while, but if it stays on or starts flashing we might have to call someone.

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The Tally Room Friday, May 30, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Prior to the election, I drew attention to the differences between my calculations and those of the AEC for a number of non-classic seats that gained new areas during the redistribution. Originally I had a list of 14 affected seats, but one of them (Nicholls) has reverted to a classic contest.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 30, 2025 - 09:30 Source

In a hopeful turn of events, the Albanese government is considering imposing an East Coast gas reservation policy. Via the AFR: The Albanese government is likely to consider developing an east coast gas reservation as part of a sweeping review of the country’s energy system. Energy industry sources speaking on the condition of anonymity said

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 30, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the Trump regime’s tariffs put back in place on appeal, causing more indecision and uncertainty in risk markets coupled with a series of bad domestic economic news for the USA. Corporate profits are down in their fastest drop in over 5 years while GDP estimates are for at least a 0.2% contraction as

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 30, 2025 - 08:15 Source

Partial data received so far suggest that Australia’s economy will post only modest growth in Q1 2025 and is likely to show a negative per capita GDP print. The Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) Household Spending Indicator (MHSI) recorded zero growth in volume terms in Q1 2025. The latest ABS labour force release suggested that

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 30, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Productivity Commission (PC) released a research report entitled “Productivity before and after COVID-19”, which claims that Australia experienced a ‘productivity bubble’ during the pandemic, in which measured labour productivity rose to a record high between January 2020 and March 2022 before returning to pre-pandemic levels in June 2023. The PC claims that Australia is

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 29, 2025 - 16:30 Source

The big news of the day is a possible reversal of ALL of the Trump regime’s tariffs (except steel/aluminium) due to a court order, although it remains to be seen if Don Taco will actually abide by the legal decision. This has seen a big relief rally across all risk markets and with the USD

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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