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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:00 Source

DXY held on last night. AUD the reverse. Still trending higher. Lead boots going nowhere. OIl and gold sank. Metals no byueno. Junk worried. Yild relief. Yield relief. Could not save stocks. It’s a day-by-day proposition right now, but I think TS Lombrd probably has the trend right. America is not about to lose its

The post Australian dollar to surpass 70 cents appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:00 Source

A 5% efficiency gain at the cost of a 99% efficiency loss

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Risk markets were relatively sanguine overnight as the Trump regime’s new “Tax” Deal (aka blowing out the deficit forever) passed while the latest flash PMIs suggested a slight uptick in confidence in the US despite the tariff chaos in the last month. Wall Street was up at one stage but managed to give back almost

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Canadian analyst Ben Rabidoux posted the below graphic on Twitter (X), asking whether Canada should place a country cap on its permanent residency intake: The graphic shows that India has dominated Canada’s permanent residency intake, with around 560,000 admissions between 2020 and 2024. Rabidoux added that Canada had more than 400,000 permanent and temporary arrivals

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 00:05 Source

In June 2024, AMP chief economist Shane Oliver presented the following chart estimating that Australia’s housing shortage was about to exceed 200,000 homes: Oliver explained via Twitter (X) that “underlying demographic demand (driven by strong population growth) continues to run well ahead of new housing supply (constrained by capacity and cost issues, etc.), and is

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Prosper Australia Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 16:39 Source
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Prosper Australia Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 16:39 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia are mainly stepping back in response to the falls overnight on Wall Street but more so on the burgeoning bond troubles as the US fiscal position looks to go into permanent deficit decline with the imminent passing of the Trump regime’s “tax” aka wealth redistribution billr. In currency markets, the USD

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Recent polling by SEC Newgate Australia suggested that Victorians do not consider the $200 billion Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) a high-priority project. The SRL is the state’s largest-ever infrastructure project. Yet, it was barely mentioned in Victorian Treasurer Jaclyn Symes budget speech on Tuesday. The only mention of the SRL was the following spin: “The

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