MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 14:00
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This week saw the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 0.25% to 3.50%, as widely expected. The reduction means the OCR has now fallen by 2.0% from its peak of 5.50%. Curiously, the Reserve Bank’s commentary attached to its decision was not as dovish as expected. “Most members” saw The post Reserve Bank to cut ‘harder and deeper’ appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 13:30
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Victoria has the nation’s highest per capita debt and the lowest credit rating. The recent budget update reported that Victoria’s net debt has risen from $36 billion to $155 billion during the last decade. The state’s net debt is expected to rise to $187 billion in the three years to 2026–27. The expansion of Victoria’s The post Victoria’s budget drowns in bureaucratic waste appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 13:00
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On Wednesday, the Australian Greens announced that the abolition of negative gearing and the capital gains tax (CGT) discount will be a priority in a minority government. The Greens’ policy is as follows. Grandfather negative gearing and the 50% CGT discount to one investment property. Any properties purchased after the policy commences, or the second The post The Greens’ housing policy is unworkable appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
“It’s almost heartbreaking:” LNP states have killed two renewable targets in two weeks. What’s next? |
MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 12:30
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It is hard to believe that the Dutton-led Coalition now faces the prospect of losing seats at the upcoming federal election. The combination of Donald Trump’s trade war and policy own-goals like promising to ban working from home (since revoked) has sent Coalition support plummeting. The latest YouGov poll shows that Labor now leads the The post Coalition voter support collapses appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 12:00
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Sydney’s housing market is losing momentum. CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index shows that Sydney recorded only a 0.1% rise in the past 28 days, the softest result across the five main capital city markets. Sydney’s 0.1% rise in values compares to 0.6% growth in Melbourne, 0.3% in Brisbane, 0.7% in Adelaide, 0.3% in Perth, and The post Sydney turns house price loser appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 11:33
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MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 11:30
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SGX and rebar futures have firmed a little. The Chinese ferrous PPI is weak, down 0.5% in April and 10% year on year. This will intensify as tariffs land. Goldman has downgraded China. On April 9th, President Trump announced a further increase in the tariff rate on imports from China to 125%, following the Chinese The post How screwed is iron ore? appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 11:10
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Ukraine’s commander-in-chief, Aleksandr Syrsky, has said Kiev must mobilize 30,000 soldiers every month to sustain resistance against the Russian army. He also highlighted the growing disparity between the military capabilities of the two countries. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 11:00
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It’s time to acknowledge that the dream of ‘net zero’ emissions is dead. The world’s top three carbon emitters are China (31.5% of total), the United States (13.0% of total), and India (8.1% of total). In 2023, these three countries accounted for more over half (52.6%) of global carbon emissions. As shown above, China and The post The dream of net zero is over appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 10:30
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This is not what a central bank governor should say as the world falls apart. Inevitably, there will be a period of uncertainty and adjustment as countries respond to the ongoing tariff announcements by the United States administration. It will take some time to see how all of this plays out and the added unpredictability The post Bullock is a ditherer appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 10:06
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The Tally Room
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 10:00
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10:00 – Hello and welcome. I’m going to be using this live blog to cover the declaration of nominations today. At midday local time in each part of Australia, ballot draws will be conducted for the House of Representatives and the Senate. Nominations closed yesterday, but we don’t yet know who made the final cut. At the declaration, those names will be announced, each candidate will have a ball assigned to them in a lottery device, and then those balls will be drawn out. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 10:00
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Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro published intriguing charts showing the sharp decline in consumer inflation expectations. The following chart shows that the long-running monthly Melbourne Institute measure of consumer inflation expectations has fallen to the long-run (1995–2019) average on a quarterly basis. The same holds for consumer inflation expectations two years from now. Justin Fabo |
xkcd.com
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 10:00
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Renew Economy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 10:00
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MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 09:30
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The Market Ear on historical movements in safe havens. Safe? US 30 year closing at another new recent high…and the dollar moving in the totally opposite direction. Big stuff going on under the surface. How safe is safe? Refinitiv VXTLT “Unstoppable”…and possibly even more important watching the VXTLT than the VIX at the moment. Refinitiv The post Safe havens torn apart appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 09:00
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The short covering rally on Wall Street quickly reversed as the insider traders made their profits while the rest of the risk complex gravely worked out that the end is still coming, 90 day stay of execution or not. The USD was shot down with its weakest one day performance in three years with a The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 08:16
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US Democratic Senator Adam Schiff has called on Congress to investigate President Donald Trump for possible insider trading and market manipulation following his abrupt trade policy U-turn. Global stocks soared after the president paused the imposition of tariffs on a multitude of countries this week. |
Renew Economy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 07:44
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Your Democracy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 07:25
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MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 07:23
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DXY is a falling meteor of death. This isn’t going to help tariff inflation. EUR is breaking out. AUD blasted higher. Even concrete boots rose. Oil is down. Gold could do anything here. Commdos reflated a touch. Big miners did not. EM stocks did not. Junk is falling away again, especially EM. As the US The post Australian dollar roars amid American chaos appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 06:47
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The Great Trump Toddler Tariff Tantrum that we have all been living through is so very Trump – blunt like a baseball bat, burn-it-down-first-figure-out-the-consequences-later reckless, and attention-grabbing like Kim Kardashian – that it is easy to forget that Donald Trump is merely human, too.
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Your Democracy
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 06:36
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Let me play devil’s advocate for a minute. I’m not here to defend President Donald Trump’s tariffs. But I do want to push back against the way the conversation around them often unfolds – dismissing them offhand with a smug “well, that’s just dumb,” without any regard for the broader economic context, either at home or globally.
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MacroBusiness
Friday, April 11, 2025 - 00:05
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While Australia’s mainstream media and the university and property lobbies continue to lie about the impacts of immigration on the rental market, Canada has provided a dose of reality. In the years following the pandemic, Canada experienced an unprecedented boom in immigration, which drove a record 1.2 million increase in the country’s population in 2023–04. The post Canada’s brutal rental market lesson for Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Thursday, April 10, 2025 - 18:16
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Your Democracy
Thursday, April 10, 2025 - 17:50
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The federal Coalition has left open the possibility it could leave the Paris climate accord, if it determines that meeting climate targets would do too much damage to the economy. The Coalition has previously said it will dump Australia's current climate target to reduce emissions by 43 per cent on 2005 levels by 2030. |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, April 10, 2025 - 16:30
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The Con Artist in Chief has dumped and pumped global stock markets with his near complete folding of the tariffs announced mere days (feels like months) ago, with huge rallies across Asian markets today as they play catchup to Wall Street. Even Chinese markets are floating higher despite the fact that this is but a The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Thursday, April 10, 2025 - 14:49
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Renew Economy
Thursday, April 10, 2025 - 14:24
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