MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 13:00
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The Fed was nasty on Friday. Jerome Powell. While uncertainty remains elevated, it is now becoming clear that the tariff increases will be significantly larger than expected. The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth. The size and duration of these effects remain uncertain. The post How long is the Fed sidelined? appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
The Tally Room
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 12:59
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Australian politics today is very different to what it was even ten years ago, but the shift in the partisan make-up of the country has been a story decades in the making. For today’s post I’m going to recount and update statistics about how Australia has shifted from a strong two-party system into the fragmented multi-party system we have today. The story of the declining major party vote begins a long time ago, even though for much of this history the House of Representatives remained almost exclusively a contest between Labor and the Coalition parties (Liberal and Country/Nationals). |
MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 12:30
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God save me from the ABC + Grattan Institute corruption nexus. I have written extensively about how the ABC quotes former gas executive Tony Wood without ever mentioning the Grattan Institute’s huge conflict of interest in its sponsorship from Origin Energy. This has turned the ABC into a near cypher of gas cartel propaganda. But The post ABC+Grattan Institute equals corruption appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 12:08
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MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 12:00
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Watch credit for the bottom. It will tell you when we are getting to the kind of economic accident that the Trump administration seems to want. Morgan Stanley. This week’s tariff announcements were more hawkish than expectations and raise recession risks, unless met by negotiations in the very near term. We expect no cuts from The post Watch credit for the bottom appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 11:30
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Of all the commodities, iron ore has so far held up the best post-tariffs. This appears to be a function of the long-established Pavlovian response that economic shocks equal more construction stimulus and iron ore demand in China. But is that the case this time? China has never successfully weathered a recessionary economic shock without The post Iron ore double trouble appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 11:00
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Albo has gone for household batteries. The Australian. Taxpayers will contribute $4000 for an average household battery installation under a $2.3 billion election commitment by Anthony Albanese, with Labor promising the policy will push electricity prices down for “everyone”. The Prime Minister will on Sunday make a speech in the Brisbane electorate of Griffith and The post Albo batteries save rich from gas cartel appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 10:30
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Last week, the ABC published the following table showing Australia’s most valuable goods exports: Since Australia doesn’t manufacture much anymore, mining, energy, and agricultural goods comprise virtually all of Australia’s goods exports. All of these exports are produced in regional Australia, not the capital cities. The only services exports of note are education and tourism-related. |
Renew Economy
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 10:21
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Renew Economy
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 10:14
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MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 10:00
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The panic is on. “Economists” are backflipping on interest rates. Hoocoodanode? The poll found 29 out of 40 economists forecast the cash rate to fall by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.85 per cent in May. ANZ, Barrenjoey, and HSBC brought forward their timing after the US president unveiled aggressive tariffs on trading The post Lunatic RBA to cut 50bps? appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
xkcd.com
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 10:00
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MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 09:30
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Blood in the streets. The Market Ear. $5 trillion gone The S&P 500 saw its worst two-day plunge since March 2020 in a sellof that slashed over $5 trillion in value. Source: Econovis 2nd worst ever The Nasdaq Composite is now down 19% year-to-date for its 2nd worst start to a year (through 64 trading The post Blood in the streets appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 09:00
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The bath of blood on risk markets continues to spill over with Wall Street falling 6% across the board on Friday night with more carnage expected here on the open of the new trading week in Asia. The latest US jobs figures came in better than expected but were roundly ignored as everything but the The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 08:00
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The Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries (FCAI) released new car sales data for March, which revealed that 108,606 new cars were delivered during the month, and a total of 1,206,558 were delivered over the year. Annual new car sales declined by 0.9% over the year, with the market continuing to trend downward since peaking in The post EV sales crash back to earth appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
John Quiggin
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 07:28
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Donald Trump’s announcement of a “Liberation Day”, involving the imposition of tariffs on almost every country in the world, is one of a series of measures which call for an urgent reorientation of Australia’s economic and foreign policy. It is, in effect, a commitment to remove the United States from the global economy, which is seen by Trump as unfair and exploitative of Americans. |
John Quiggin
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 07:26
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Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please. I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here. |
Renew Economy
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 07:10
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MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 07:00
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A Dutton-led Coalition government would ‘slash’ international student numbers by around 25% if elected. Speaking in the outer suburbs of Melbourne on Sunday morning, Peter Dutton said that the international student intakes at universities and VET would be cut by 80,000 under the Coalition, which he said would free up housing and ease the rental The post The right way to cut international student numbers appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 05:54
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The dreadful atrocities by Hamas on 7 October 2023 horrified the world and triggered the destruction of Gaza, the deaths of more than 50,000 Gazan men, women and children and the wounding of tens of thousands more.
Was Israel complicit in the 7 October 2023 massacre?
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Your Democracy
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 05:24
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British Prime Minister Keir Starmer will deliver a speech on Monday acknowledging that the era of globalization has come to an end, The Times has reported. Starmer will make the address in response to US President Donald Trump imposing sweeping tariffs on the majority of America’s trading partners, including the UK, earlier this week, according to the article on Sunday. |
Your Democracy
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 04:42
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WASHINGTON -- US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is reportedly looking to leave the Trump administration following the president's "reciprocal tariff" announcement, which has raised concerns about its impact on the economy, The New Republic reported on Saturday. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 00:05
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The Trump administration’s “Liberation Day” retaliatory tariffs have slapped tariffs of 10% to 48% on US trading partners. The tariffs are expected to drive the US’ effective tariff rate to its highest level in more than a century. Global stock markets fell sharply following the announcement of tariffs on Wednesday, US time. The US markets The post Trump tariffs to crash Aussie interest rates appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, April 7, 2025 - 00:01
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The Australian dollar is falling out of favour again. Goldman. We are making a major shift in our Dollar view for the year ahead: we now see Dollar weakness of the first quarter persisting and deepening further. The reciprocal tariff announcement itself was close to our economists’ expectations in terms of aggregate tariff rate. If The post Australian dollar forecasts slashed appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Sunday, April 6, 2025 - 13:00
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Merchant.adventurers.of.london · DeepTGman April5 In this podcast discussion Deep T goes over the impacts and implications of the new tariff regime US President Trump unveiled during the week and how the Australian economy is likely to experience that. The discussion looks at the the near absence of meaningful economic policy discussion during an Australian The post MB Radio: Deep T & G Man April 5 appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Sunday, April 6, 2025 - 10:38
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On Thursday, Australian time, the Trump Administration announced its “Liberation Day” retaliatory tariffs, which impose tariffs of between 10% and 48% on trading partners. The announcement of the tariffs led to heavy falls on global stock markets. US markets suffered heavy losses, with the S&P 500 losing $5 trillion in value in two days. This The post Share market losses spur auction bounce appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Sunday, April 6, 2025 - 06:53
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The Hungarian prime minister said the EU Commission's call for people to prepare a 72-hour emergency kit was scary. "What's on these people's minds? Are they up to something?" the politician lamented, speaking on public radio. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán was the first national leader to react to the EU Commission's advice for people to prepare a 72-hour survival kit for emergency situations. |
Renew Economy
Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 22:31
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Your Democracy
Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 20:55
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Having written two celebrated books on fascism in the 20th century, Jewish-American scholar John Stanley draws direct parallels with the second Donald Trump presidency. "Fascism is what the Trump administration is now doing," he told DW of the president's second term in office. |
Renew Economy
Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 14:13
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