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MacroBusiness Sunday, April 6, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Merchant.adventurers.of.london · DeepTGman April5   In this podcast discussion Deep T goes over the impacts and implications of the new tariff regime US President Trump unveiled during the week and how the Australian economy is likely to experience that.  The discussion looks at the the near absence of meaningful economic policy discussion during an Australian

The post MB Radio: Deep T & G Man April 5 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Sunday, April 6, 2025 - 10:38 Source

On Thursday, Australian time, the Trump Administration announced its “Liberation Day” retaliatory tariffs, which impose tariffs of between 10% and 48% on trading partners. The announcement of the tariffs led to heavy falls on global stock markets. US markets suffered heavy losses, with the S&P 500 losing $5 trillion in value in two days. This

The post Share market losses spur auction bounce appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Sunday, April 6, 2025 - 06:53 Source

The Hungarian prime minister said the EU Commission's call for people to prepare a 72-hour emergency kit was scary. "What's on these people's minds? Are they up to something?" the politician lamented, speaking on public radio.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán was the first national leader to react to the EU Commission's advice for people to prepare a 72-hour survival kit for emergency situations.

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Renew Economy Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 22:31 Source
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Your Democracy Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 20:55 Source

Having written two celebrated books on fascism in the 20th century, Jewish-American scholar John Stanley draws direct parallels with the second Donald Trump presidency.

"Fascism is what the Trump administration is now doing," he told DW of the president's second term in office.

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Renew Economy Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 14:13 Source
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THE BLOT REPORT Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 11:37 Source

As almost everyone who can read knows, the Mango Mussolini has inflicted tariffs on numerous countries around the world. However, several of the tariffs have been aimed at places with no trading relationship with the United States., two of which are Heard Island and the McDonald Islands1.

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MacroBusiness Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 10:32 Source

DXY is suddenly a safe haven once more. To describe the 4.57% destruction of the AUD in one day as a lesson in arrogance doesn’t quite say it. Lead boots may be about to become a screaming meteorite of death. Oil is going to hell. When gold sells like this, you know the margin calls

The post Australian dollar destroyed 4.57% appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Club Troppo Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 10:14 Source

Donald Trump is trying to slash his nation’s trade deficit. Australians may recognise this task: we tackled it in the late 1980s, failed, and found that it mattered less than we thought. 

Hello, US readers! You’ve just started an interesting economic experiment to see whether government policy can change a trade deficit into a trade surplus.

My bet: you will find, just as Australians did, that the answer is “no”. Most people find it hard to think about trade in a very organised way, and end up doing things that have effects they didn’t expect. Effects like recessions.. 

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Renew Economy Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 09:15 Source
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Your Democracy Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 08:40 Source

Peter Dutton’s election campaign is faltering just as momentum should be building, fuelling growing unease inside the Coalition that his abrasive image and perceived ideological closeness to Donald Trump is pushing away the swing voters he needs to win.

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Your Democracy Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 08:27 Source

X is not real life, but its tentacles slither into the increasingly online landscape that defines real life. It’s not X’s fault; it has merely become an incubator of a trend launched years ago by the 24-hour news cycle. Really, then, much of our modern malaise is the fault of Ted Turner, a man so wise he saw fit to marry Jane Fonda in 1991, well after she had publicly aired her crazy in myriad ways. 

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Your Democracy Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 08:08 Source

Russia will have little difficulty reaching its target of 1.5 million active military personnel, despite the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander in Europe Christopher Cavoli has predicted.

During a US Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on Thursday, the four-star US Army general evaluated Moscow’s ability to enhance its military capabilities.

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New Politics Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 08:00 Source

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MacroBusiness Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 00:15 Source

On Thursday, Australian time, the Trump Administration announced its “Liberation Day” retaliatory tariffs, which impose tariffs of between 10% and 48% on trading partners. This will see the US’ effective tariff rate rise to its highest level in more than a century. The announcement of the tariffs led to heavy falls on global stock markets.

The post Trump tariffs to trigger house price boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Saturday, April 5, 2025 - 00:05 Source

International Reading: Tesla Board Asks Elon Musk to Step Down – Clean technica JD Vance Tells Paycheck-to-Paycheck Americans to Suck Up Tariffs Pain – Daily Beast Republicans are losing faith in Trump rescuing the economy – News Week Layoffs spiked by 205% last month to third-highest ever recorded, fueled by DOGE mass firings – CBS

The post Weekend reading and media appearances appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, April 4, 2025 - 19:25 Source

Lyndon LaRouche (8 September 1922 – 12 February 2019), was an American economist, and political activist who founded various political organizations under the umbrella of what was termed the LaRouche Movement, and the Schiller Institute, founded by his spouse, Helga-Zepp-LaRouche.

 

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 4, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Not quite a bath of blood here on Asian markets but there’s been a fair share of volatility as global supply chains are reworked and economists scratch their collective heads wondering where this will all end up. The USD remains under the pump against all the undollars except the Australian while bond markets surge as

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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THE BLOT REPORT Friday, April 4, 2025 - 16:19 Source

The electric car maker Tesla was created by engineers Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning who reputedly sought to make electric cars that were fast and fun to drive. The company was officially incorporated in 20031.

In January 2008, both Eberhard and Tarpenning were forced out of the company at the behest of investor Elon Musk, who subsequently took over as CEO2. Their departure was supposedly because of their inexperience in running such a company. 

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Momentum in Australia’s housing market has waned following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 0.25% interest rate cut in February. Last weekend’s combined capital city final auction clearance declined to 59.4%, down from 63.2% the prior week and 64.8% over the same week the previous year. The result was also the first time the final

The post RBA-induced house price rebound stalls appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, April 4, 2025 - 13:42 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, April 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

TS Lombard with the note. Trump delivered on campaign promises applying a 54% (34% “reciprocal” and 20% fentanyl) tariff rate to imports from China. The move could impact 1.5-2ppt of China GDP in 2025. How does China respond? Strong fiscal, moderate monetary, passive retaliation–for now. We downgrade our growth forecast by 20bps to 4.5% (always

The post How will China respond to Trump tariffs? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, April 4, 2025 - 13:10 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, April 4, 2025 - 13:06 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, April 4, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Last week’s federal budget revealed that the cost of the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) will reach $50.8 billion next financial year, exceeding the $51 billion allocated to the defence budget. The cost of the NDIS is also projected to reach $63 billion by mid-2029. The growth of the NDIS is the key driver behind

The post NDIS will continue to drive job growth appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, April 4, 2025 - 12:42 Source
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The Tally Room Friday, April 4, 2025 - 12:30 Source

With a hung parliament looking very likely at the upcoming federal election, there has been quite a lot of looking back at the last hung parliament in 2010.

Amongst other elements, there has been some parallels drawn between the experience of the crossbenchers in 2010 and how the current crossbench could jump if they find themselves in a position to decide who forms government this year.

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 4, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The ABC has lost the plot entirely. The relationship between Peter Dutton and resources billionaire Gina Rinehart has soured over the Coalition leader’s plan to force energy giants to sell gas into the domestic market at a likely loss. The ABC also understands that Ms Rinehart’s enthusiasm for Mr Dutton has waned in recent weeks

The post ABC horrified Dutton not Gina’s gas toy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

This week, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) released data on new house sales, which continued to disappoint. As illustrated below, the number of private new home sales fell by 0.6% in February and has shown little movement in two and a half years. Moreover, as shown by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro below, new house

The post What’s stopping new home construction? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, April 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The ferrous jaws closed somewhat with all commodities last night. Chinese steel demand is pretty meek, according to MySteel. Production is a bit better but won’t be as export markets dump with tariffs. There’s a lot of front-loading that’s been done. And now for a demand hole on the other side of it.

The post Iron ore shoved towards demand cliff appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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