Blogotariat

Friday’s NFP is a massive release for markets. BofA offers its preview. August payrolls:re-acceleration? We expect Aug payrolls to rise by 90k (consensus:75k, Jul: 73k). Although initial claims increased during the survey week, the four-week average remained at modest levels and not far from the July average (Exhibit 2). Also, continuing claims declined during the

The post US jobs to rebound? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Last week, my local WhatsApp group exploded with footage of an attempted daylight carjacking a few hundred metres from my home in Ashburton. The footage made national news. It was the third type of event close to my home in the past month, the others being one successful and one attempted home invasion and car theft.

The post Crime wave sweeps GTA Melbourne appeared first on MacroBusiness.

We should not be surprised. It was obvious in 2021/22 that Labor had no compass for Australian strategic policy in the national interest. Not to mention the longer-term campaign by greybeards of the party to sell us to Beijing. Back then, when China unleashed its trade coercion attack, Labor could not wait to blame Australia

The post Immortan Dan to lock down Australia permanently appeared first on MacroBusiness.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population data is a lottery. The population figures in the Q3 and Q4 2024 national accounts releases (here and here) diverged significantly from the official quarterly population data issued a few weeks later. Therefore, population numbers implied in the quarterly national accounts (and other releases) can and do get

The post Australia’s population growth rebounds appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Yesterday’s GDP figure has markets very upset. There is nothing like a strong economy to kill overvalued securities prices these days. They needn’t fear. The Aussie consumer is not “back”. Yesterday’s GDP was boosted by one-offs, and the gas cartel will take care of the rest of the year. Household consumption grew 0.9% in the

The post The Aussie consumer is not “back” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Australia’s home building sector appears to be one giant contradiction. On one hand, Australia possesses the strongest level of new dwelling completions per capita in the Anglosphere and one of the highest levels in the entire developed world. In fact, Australia has been in an absolute ascendancy over its Anglosphere rivals for the last 40

The post The collapse of Australian home building appeared first on MacroBusiness.

A "base loan" facility said to be the first of its kind in Australian renewables industry to fund rollout of battery storage projects.

The following chart from Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro shows that Australia’s productivity growth has lagged other advanced nations since 2018. Wednesday’s Q2 national accounts release confirmed that the nation’s productivity remains stillborn, with non-farm labour productivity rising 0.3% in Q2 but was slightly lower over the year and remained around 2017 levels.   While

DXY is down. AUD is up, though the trend is a mess. CNY down. Gold to the moon! Metals mixed. Big bear is still in there. EM yawn. Junk still trending better. Whoa! US short-end yields are breaking down, long sticky. Feeding stocks. So much for bond vigilantes. We’ve been JOLTED instead. The number of

The post Australian dollar loves unemployed Americans appeared first on MacroBusiness.

That’s one of the silliest things about the way rightists are always babbling about how we need to protect our way of life from immigrants or Islam or “the trans agenda” or whatever. They’re beginning with the assumption that this train wreck of a society is worth saving at all.

Western Civilization Is Not Worth Saving

CAITLIN JOHNSTONE

The 2025 federal election campaign saw both sides of politics cynically propose policies to pump homebuyer demand and prices. Both sides also explicitly stated that they want to see Australian house prices rise at a ‘sustainable rate’ from already record-high levels. Neither side genuinely wants to “solve” the housing affordability crisis because that would require

The post Why Australian politicians pump house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

The election of Zack Polanski as Green Party leader could be the moment our political drought begins to break.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian  3rd September 2025