Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 16:00 Source

Risk markets continue to weigh up last night’s US CPI print with tariff inflation beginning to hit the US domestic economy, with the Fed likely to hold instead of cut for the rest of the year. More “frameworks” and “thinkings about deals, maybe” are being announced by the Trump regime as US Treasury yields drift

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 191
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 14:00 Source

After experiencing a reprieve last year, the latest net permanent and long-term arrivals data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) suggests that net overseas migration (NOM) has surged back in 2025. There were 1,128,480 permanent and long-term arrivals in the year to May, offset by 680,860 departures, with both tracking at close to a

The post Australian immigration surges back in 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 227
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 13:30 Source

As we know, Australia hates Donald Trump in part because of his stance on climate change. What most Australians don’t know, however, is that the US has done a much better job of decarbonising itself cheaply than we have. The recent change has been part of the post-COVID recovery. While the US has rehabilitated industry,

The post US energy transition far better than Australia’s appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 251
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 13:00 Source

I am ideologically opposed to taxpayer-funded subsidies for private car transportation. Most of these subsidies go to higher-income earners. Thus, they are a prime illustration of the reverse Robin Hood phenomenon, in which the rich benefit at the expense of the poor. Electric vehicle (EV) subsidies are extremely expensive and inequitable, worsening the long-term sustainability

Read more Views: 303
Renew Economy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 13:00 Source
Read more Views: 253
Renew Economy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:36 Source
Read more Views: 233
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The groveller-in-chief will grovel. China Daily, a state media outlet, trumpeted the unusual length of Albanese’s visit (six days) and claimed the prime minister’s office saw the trip as a “friendly gesture” made “against the backdrop of rising tensions between the United States and many countries”. …Earlier in the day, TV journalists at the Drum

The post Albo is a Xi Jinping mini-me appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 199
Your Democracy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:01 Source

Read more Views: 191
Renew Economy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:01 Source
Read more Views: 200
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Let’s call it what it is: a recession. Even a depression. Much like Japan before it, it is of the golden variety, hidden by fiscal bridges to nowhere. The Chinese economy grew a fanciful 5.2% in the June quarter. But even the slow-moving and captured are asking pointed questions now. Bloomberg. Nominal GDP, which accounts

The post China’s golden depression plods on appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 204
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Market Ear with equities latest. Tech mania Stat of the day: “In the past 3 months since April, global investors have raised their allocation to the tech sector by the largest amount since Mar’09“. Source: BofA NASDAQ – no problem? NASDAQ futures printing new ATHs as of writing as tech breaks above the little

The post Bears on the prowl appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 188
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 11:00 Source

ANZ-Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index has languished below the neutral 100 mark for more than three years, the longest and deepest stretch this century. The ANZ-Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index last reached positive territory above 100 in March 2022, just before the Albanese government was elected into office. “Low confidence isn’t just a mood

Read more Views: 190
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous complex is looking toppy. Yesterday’s June data was bad for Chinese steel. The only conclusion one can draw from this chart is that deep output cuts are underway. Private data is not capturing it. The decline of green steel continues. But both BOF and EAF output have topped at the mid-year peak well

The post Chinese steel sickens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 200
Cheeseburger Gothic Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 10:08 Source

I stopped reading movie reviews before watching the film many years ago. Decades really. It was a film reviewer called Ana Maria Del’Oso (apologies for inevitably getting the spelling wrong, A.M.) wot done it to me. I'd been looking forward to watching Clint Eastwood's return to the Western with Unforgiven and naïvely picked up her review, which might have been in the Fairfax papers, or maybe some posh magazine.

Read more Views: 213
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Last month, credit ratings firm S&P estimated that Australia’s state and federal governments’ combined budget deficits totalled $52 billion, with net debt exceeding 60% of GDP. This translates to a $1,897 per capita deficit and a net debt of $45,183 per person. Meanwhile, the aggregate net debt of the federal, state, and territorial governments is

Read more Views: 182
xkcd.com Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 10:00 Source

This is almost as bad as the time I signed up for a purely partisan fishing expedition.

Read more Views: 172
The Tally Room Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Hare-Clark is basically unique amongst Australian electoral systems because there is a realistic possibility that a member of parliament will lose their seat to a fellow member of the same party – indeed it happens fairly regularly. Another unusual feature is the use of countbacks. Members of parliament often choose to quit mid-term, and are replaced by a fellow member of their party without the need for a by-election. But those mid-term replacements often struggle to retain their seats against other candidates at the following election.

Read more Views: 214
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is back and EUR is trash. AUD has a nasty double top. Lead boots are OK. Gold and oil are in trouble. Ditto metals. Big mining rotation, my butt. EM pumped and dumped. Junk is warning. As yields spike. Nasdaq also pumped and dumped. US inflation was pretty good at 0.3% MoM and +2.7%

The post Australian dollar smashed by US tarifflation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 179
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 09:00 Source

All eyes were on the release of the latest US CPI print which accelerated over the year showing that the Trump regime’s tariff crusade is beginning to have an effect on domestic inflation. This is just the start as the full effect has not been seen yet, with the core goods CPI print had its

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 182
Renew Economy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 08:31 Source
Read more Views: 223
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Roy Morgan has published its annual survey measuring the levels of trust and distrust that Australians have in the economy. Roy Morgan claims that Australia is becoming a “fragile nation”, with distrust in the entire economy rising, consumer confidence remaining in the doldrums for three years, and the nation’s social fabric under continuous stress. The

The post Australians no longer believe in the ‘Lucky Country’ appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 179
Renew Economy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 07:23 Source
Read more Views: 192
Your Democracy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 07:19 Source

Donald Trump is on the brink of tearing up his 'no foreign wars, pro-peace' pre-election pledge on Ukraine, with plans to deliver more weapons, and threats against Russia edging him closer toward inheriting "Biden's war." Sputnik asked a renowned US geopolitics and military affairs expert to break it down.

Read more Views: 188
Renew Economy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 07:19 Source
Read more Views: 181
Your Democracy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 06:50 Source

France’s Strategic National Review predicts a large-scale military conflict with Russia in Europe by 2030, despite Russia repeatedly rubbishing the scenario.

 

Why It's a Non-Starter

Read more Views: 185
Your Democracy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 06:19 Source

The Gaza genocide is special. And not in one but two regards.

As has often been observed, this is the first genocide in history that is, in essence, livestreamed. No genocide before has been committed under the eyes of the world like this one. And second, the Gaza genocide is undermining and, in effect, devastating whole moral and legal orders – or at least longstanding claims to them – in an equally unprecedented way.

 

Read more Views: 246
Your Democracy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 05:55 Source

Read more Views: 189
Renew Economy Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 00:16 Source
Read more Views: 234
MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 00:05 Source

A meeting of the national cabinet in August 2023 agreed on a target of 1.2 million new homes to be built between 1 July 2024 and 1 July 2029. This 1.2 million target requires 240,000 homes to be constructed every year, which is a level that is around 7% higher than the record single-year construction

The post Nobody believes the government on housing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 212
Renew Economy Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 22:34 Source
Read more Views: 187

Pages