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Auction market crashes back to earth

June 8, 2025 - 09:35 -- Admin

The past few months have seen Australia’s auction market roar back to life. Last week, the national final auction clearance rate recorded its highest level since July 2024, with just over 66% of homes taken to auction selling. The following chart clearly illustrates the bounce in clearance rates, with higher auction clearances typically leading to

Australian dollar Goldilocks

June 8, 2025 - 09:33 -- Admin

DXY held on Friday night. AUD could not break higher. Lead boots still plodding upwards. Gold sagged. Oil bounce looks technical to me. Metals no bueno. Big bear rolls on. EM maybe. Junk meh. Yields up. Stocks upper. The US jobs report was a Goldilocks scenario, so it did not change the trends. Total nonfarm

The economic week ahead

June 8, 2025 - 08:44 -- Admin

By Lucinda Jerogin, associate economist at CBA: Real GDP surprised to the downside at 0.2%/qtr. The annual rate held steady at 1.3%. The current account deficit narrowed to $14.7 bn in Q1 25, driven by a $2.2 bn fall in the net income deficit. Home prices across the eight capital cities rose by 0.5% in

Weekend reading and media appearances

June 7, 2025 - 00:10 -- Admin

International Reading: ‘There’s no fraud’: Steve Bannon says Elon Musk’s DOGE cuts are a huge failure – Raw Story Trump calls for scrapping debt limit – The Hill Economists Raise Questions About Quality of U.S. Inflation Data – WSJ President Stagflation: US economic activity declines as tariffs pressure prices, Fed says – Yahoo House GOP

Macro Afternoon

June 6, 2025 - 16:00 -- Admin

As the two most powerful but petulant men in the world stand off at 10 yards with handbags swinging, risk markets didn’t know quite to make out here in the Asian session today as the focus remains on the latest US jobs report tonight, with the initial jobless claims preview from last night not looking

New Zealand’s housing crash reignites

June 6, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Following one of the largest booms in the developed world during the pandemic, New Zealand’s house prices experienced a significant decline. As illustrated above by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, New Zealand’s real inflation-adjusted house price has returned to its pre-pandemic level, according to the REINZ house price index. Separate data released this week by

Is it a bear market rally?

June 6, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

The Market Ear on the nature of the rally. Range mania continues SPX remains stuck inside the 5800/6000 range (futures). Source: LSEG Workspace NASDAQ technicals Rising wedge like formation and the huge resistance area slightly higher. Source: LSEG Workspace Surprise, surprise The gap between SPX and Citi US economic surprises should make you a bit

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