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Articles from MacroBusiness

Why it is about to rain rate cuts

February 14, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

Goldman’s excellent Andrew Boak takes on the third rail of Aussie economics.  Looking at the labour market, some indicators like employment growth, labour force participation and job vacancies do remain strong and appear to work against the case for easier monetary policy – however, our analysis highlights three reasons why these measures are overstating the

Macro Morning

February 14, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Stock markets are essentially ignoring Trump’s tariff plans and keep heading higher across both sides of the Atlantic with an expectation of that positivity flowing over here in Asia for the last trading day of the week. The latest PPI data saw the USD give up ground against most of the undollars with a violent

Housing market braces for new round of FOMO

February 14, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

Property analysts believe the ‘Fear of Missing out’ (FOMO) will engulf Australia’s housing market once the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cuts interest rates. Financial markets believe the RBA will cut the official cash rate by 0.25% next week, followed by three additional cuts throughout the year. PropTrack has modelled the average savings homeowners would

Macro Afternoon

February 13, 2025 - 17:00 -- Admin

Asian share markets are much more positive in today’s session with shares continuing to rebound in Hong Kong rebounding while local markets are dead flat. Last night’s US CPI print is seeing currency markets move every which way as they also navigate more tariff volatility with Yen firming while the Australian dollar is holding strong

History repeats as Australia heads for minority government

February 13, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

At the 2010 Australian federal election, the Julia Gillard-led Labor Party won a second term after Labor formed a minority government with the support of three independent MPs and one Australian Greens MP. Labor and the Coalition each won 72 seats in the 150-seat House of Representatives, four short of the requirement for a majority

Victoria becomes nation’s problem child

February 13, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

Last year, former federal Treasury official Stephen Anthony warned that Victoria might require a federal “bailout” due to soaring state debt, which reached $27,729 per person in 2023-24. “Victoria is on a suicide mission to record borrowing, just as global interest rates are about to hit 5%”, Anthony warned. “Potholes can’t get filled, emergency departments

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