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Albo mulls East Coast gas reservation

May 30, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

In a hopeful turn of events, the Albanese government is considering imposing an East Coast gas reservation policy. Via the AFR: The Albanese government is likely to consider developing an east coast gas reservation as part of a sweeping review of the country’s energy system. Energy industry sources speaking on the condition of anonymity said

Macro Morning

May 30, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Overnight saw the Trump regime’s tariffs put back in place on appeal, causing more indecision and uncertainty in risk markets coupled with a series of bad domestic economic news for the USA. Corporate profits are down in their fastest drop in over 5 years while GDP estimates are for at least a 0.2% contraction as

The productivity bubble and bust

May 30, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

The Productivity Commission (PC) released a research report entitled “Productivity before and after COVID-19”, which claims that Australia experienced a ‘productivity bubble’ during the pandemic, in which measured labour productivity rose to a record high between January 2020 and March 2022 before returning to pre-pandemic levels in June 2023. The PC claims that Australia is

Macro Afternoon

May 29, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

The big news of the day is a possible reversal of ALL of the Trump regime’s tariffs (except steel/aluminium) due to a court order, although it remains to be seen if Don Taco will actually abide by the legal decision. This has seen a big relief rally across all risk markets and with the USD

Why interest rates are heading lower

May 29, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

Australia’s futures market expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to deliver another three 0.25% interest rate cuts this year, which would take the official cash rate down to 3.1%. The latest Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) from the RBA seems to support this notion, given that it significantly lowered its estimate of the neutral

Steel plummets, iron ore levitates

May 29, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

The ferrous complex is unwinding. Steel is under the pump. Bloomberg. Prices of a key Chinese steel product used in construction were at their lowest since 2017 as the world’s biggest market for the metal grappled with a massive glut. Reinforcement bar — or rebar for short — is a benchmark for China’s traditional steel

China makes a play for dirt currency

May 29, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

It sounds huge. China is on the cusp of its biggest move yet to open up its vast commodities markets, after the Shanghai Futures Exchange unveiled an internationalization plan to streamline access for overseas investors. The country’s biggest raw materials bourse is soliciting views on a proposal to let participants post foreign exchange as collateral for yuan-denominated trades, according

Oil to remain cheap

May 29, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

The International Energy Agency, in its latest oil market report, raised historical demand estimates. As a result, the IEA now estimates that the oil market was slightly undersupplied last year, while previously it forecasted a small surplus in 2024. With demand seasonally rising and the eight OPEC+ member states with additional voluntary cuts likely still

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