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China is conning the world on ‘net zero’

January 29, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Much of the Western World is rapidly deindustrialising to meet ‘net zero’ emissions targets. For Example, the United Kingdom’s stringent restrictions on fossil fuel energy use have driven up energy costs, resulting in sharp contractions in all energy-intensive industries. The same deindustrialisation is happening in Germany, following similar “net zero” policies. Australians are also being

Migration shills pressure Peter Dutton

January 29, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has committed to reducing permanent migration to 140,000 a year if the Coalition wins the upcoming federal election. However, immigration influencer Abul Rizvi has led a group of pro-mass immigration shills warning against the cut, claiming that it is unworkable and would harm the economy. Rizvi argues that cutting the permanent

Iron ore weathers mounting headwinds

January 29, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

I’m not sure where the rebar rally is coming from. There’s nothing much going on for demand. Perhaps it is the very weak seasonal restock. The Steel PMI ain’t it. Markets are very short ferrous so maybe that’s it. The outlook for rebar is terrible as China goes off the completions cliff, but perhaps steel

Some DeepSeek thoughts

January 29, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

I’m assuming most readers are at least somewhat aware of DeepSeek over the past week, which culminated in a large sell-off in AI stocks on Monday. I thought it worth putting down some thoughts about where this may go. Quick background A small Chinese company, DeepSeek, released a large language model that matches or betters

Macro Morning

January 29, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Wall Street rebounded overnight from its Deepseek AI start of week dramas with tech stocks rebounding while other industrials were largely unchanged as they absorbed the latest macroeconomic news in the US and await the next FOMC meeting. FX markets were largely unmoved as well, absorbing the post weekend volatility and even more Trump Tariff

Macro Afternoon

January 28, 2025 - 17:00 -- Admin

Asian stock markets are having a hard time swallowing the volatility around the overnight moves on Wall Street due to the Deepseek AI problems, while equally swallowing the Deep Suck coming out of the White House around more tariffs. The USD was pushed significantly higher after several sessions of weakness with the Australian dollar breaking

Deepseek. Don’t panic!

January 28, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

So says Bernstein. Did DeepSeek really “build OpenAI for $5M? There are actually two model families in discussion. The first family is DeepSeek-V3, a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) large language model which, through a number of optimizations and clever techniques can provide similar or better performance vs other large foundational models but requires a small fraction of the

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