Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
Prosper Australia Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:24 Source

By Cameron Murray and Tim Helm This article was originally published on Fresh Economic Thinking. Posted here with permission. A recent working paper by Schuyler Louie, John A. Mondragon, and Johannes Wieland has been making waves in urban economics circles. The paper title might provide a clue as to why— “Supply Constraints do not Explain House Price […]

Read more Views: 94
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:14 Source
Read more Views: 120
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

There goes the hope for curing all of the East Coast’s energy problems. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has praised Western Australia’s domestic gas reservation scheme and says his government already has the power to force producers to sell to the local market on the east coast. …Albanese on Tuesday sought to distance any arrangement Labor

The post Aaaaand, it’s back to gas permacrisis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 138
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

On Tuesday, the Fair Work Commission (FWC) decided to lift the national minimum wage and award wages by 3.5% from 1 July this year. The key justification given for the decision was to provide some real wage catch-up. Business groups met the decision with their usual backlash, claiming that higher minimum and award wages would

The post Business groups wrong about wages and productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 135
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:51 Source

Today’s Q1 national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that Australians lurched back into recession, with per capita GDP growth declining by 0.2% over the quarter: Per capita GDP has declined in nine of the last 11 quarters, down a total of 1.7% over that period. The overall economy also grew by

The post Australians slide back into recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 138
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Market Ear on the hated rally. …to start talking about all time highs? NASDAQ trading right on those huge levels. Source: LSEG Workspace Stopped in “Net leverage for the full PB book rose more than +8 pts in May, the largest monthly increase on our record, driven by large global net buying and mark-to-market“.

The post Love the hated rally to ATH! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 142
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:16 Source
Read more Views: 147
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

NSW Opposition Leader Mark Speakman has accused Premier Chris Minns of blaming federal tobacco taxes for the fact that the illegal tobacco trade in the state is “out of control”. Minns has suggested that cutting tobacco taxes would lead to a reduction in black market tobacco activity, leaving NSW Police with more resources to combat

The post Less is more with tobacco taxes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 89
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

It’s goodbye, Chinese steel prices. No good news. Despite the tariff reduction after the US-China trade talks in Geneva, the headline Caixin manufacturing PMI fell notably to 48.3 in May from 50.4 in April, contrary to market expectations of an uptick. Among the major sub-indexes, the output sub-index decreased the most, followed by the new

The post Steel goes into the abyss appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 79
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Australia recorded a tiny 0.05% rise in carbon emissions in 2024, which has the usual suspects whining. As reported by the Guardian: Emissions last year were estimated to be 446.4m tonnes of carbon dioxide, 0.2m tonnes higher than in 2023. The increase is largely due to pollution from electricity generation rising by 2.2%, reversing a

Read more Views: 95
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:38 Source
Read more Views: 115
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Victoria’s finances are in a dire state. Victoria’s net debt was only $22.3 billion when the Labor government presented its first state budget in 2015. It has now risen to $155.5 billion and is expected to reach $194 billion by 2028-29, according to budget projections. Victorian net debt per capita was under $3,600 in Labor’s

The post Victorian government begs rating agencies for stay of execution appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 81
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:25 Source
Read more Views: 94
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Assistant Minister for Productivity Andrew Leigh used a speech to the Chifley Research Centre on Tuesday to call for “thickets of regulation” to be reduced to help boost productivity. Leigh stated that there are several ways to improve productivity, including an increased focus on rewarding project delivery and measuring outcomes. He claimed that excessive bureaucracy

Read more Views: 85
xkcd.com Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Ultimately, history would imperfectly record the story of the Foal of Troy.

Read more Views: 68
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 09:30 Source

There is dumb. And then there is really, really stupid. Australian defence falls into the latter category. In his address to the Shangri-La Dialogue Hegseth made clear the Trump administration’s priority defence policy region is Asia. …Poland expects to spend 4.7 per cent of its GDP on defence this year. Lithuania plans to spend 5.5

The post The great Aussie defence bludger appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 78
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Last night saw the release of the latest EU flash inflation figures which imply some building deflationary pressures while the latest US factory orders blew up to a new low, reinforcing the damage done by the Trump regime’s tariff “plan”. But reality didn’t matter to equity markets as they reacted to speculation around potential trade

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 80
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 08:57 Source
Read more Views: 133
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 08:45 Source
Read more Views: 81
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 07:46 Source
Read more Views: 96
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 07:00 Source

Financial markets believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will deliver another three 25 bp cuts to the official cash rate (OCR) in 2025, taking the OCR to 3.10% by year end. However, the market ascribed roughly a 70% probability of the RBA cutting the OCR at its next meeting in July. Belinda Allen,

The post RBA readies July rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 80
MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Greens leader Larissa Waters has indicated that its party room has yet to decide whether it will support the federal government’s proposed superannuation tax reforms. The Greens are set to hold the balance of power in the Senate from 1 July, so Labor will depend on their votes to pass legislation. The Greens had expressed

The post Retired bureaucrats attack Labor’s superannuation reforms appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 187
George Monbiot Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 19:42 Source

Keir Starmer has accidentally given us four years in which to build a new political system. We should seize the chance.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 27th May 2025

This feels terminal. The breaches of trust have been so frequent, so vast and so decisive that the voters Labour has already lost are unlikely to return. In one forum after another, I hear the same sentiments: “I voted for change, not the same or worse.” “I’ve voted Labour all my life, but that’s it for me.” “I feel I’ve been had.”

Read more Views: 178
Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 17:35 Source
Read more Views: 141
MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 17:14 Source

Tonight I will be appearing on DFA Live with Martin North from 8.00pm AEST, where we will discuss everything to do with the housing market and economy. The YouTube feed is below. I hope to see you there.

The post Join me tonight on DFA Live with Martin North appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 84
MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 16:30 Source

A lot of macro events and geopolitics hit risk markets today but was mostly absorbed outside of currencies as the USD hit a six week low on a combination of the burgeoning world wide trade war started by the Trump regime and the growing slowdown in the domestic US economy. The latest Chinese manufacturing figures

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 155
Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:31 Source
Read more Views: 159
Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:26 Source
Read more Views: 158
Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:26 Source
Read more Views: 145
MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The NSW and Victorian governments are urging the Albanese government to use its large election mandate to revamp the GST system. The then Turnbull government agreed in 2016 to what has been dubbed a ‘sweetheart deal’ with Western Australia, which is slated to cost taxpayers $60 billion over 11 years. This deal set a floor

The post Victoria cries poor after receiving $7.5b in extra GST appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 90

Pages