MacroBusiness
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 11:30
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Scott Maynard, managing director of electric vehicle (EV) maker Polestar in Australia, has called for an end to tax breaks for large four-wheel-drive utes. Maynard says the fringe benefits tax (FBT) concession “continues to disproportionately serve the sale of dual cab utes and not what I would consider to be a far more progressive style The post EV hypocrites run wild appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 11:00
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We know that we are wrecking our economy with crazy high gas prices. We also know that this is a direct result of subsidising gas exports to China, which it sends back as battleships. We know that Japan resells huge quantities of cheap Aussie gas across Asia at a markup. We know that we need The post Energy superidiot approaches peak gas stupid appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 10:30
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Yesterday, I started paying for ChatGPT. I am not the only one. The Market Ear. Silicon smackdown: Will OpenAI ever be matched? OpenAI has become the AI industry’s dominant force, with 800M users and a $300B valuation—but the race is far from over. As Gavin Baker notes, an Apple-Grok partnership could be the strategic counter The post US dominates AI…so far appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 10:03
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Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's recent Six-day visit to China was important. China is Australia's largest trading partner.From Beijing perspective it was certainly a success.As the Communist Party's propaganda sheet, the Global Times, observed "the relationship is now flying in the stratosphere" after years of strained ties under the previous Morrison government.
MAURICE NEWMAN, THE DAILY TELEGRAPH |
MacroBusiness
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 10:00
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Less than two months before Australia went to the polls for May’s federal election, the expectation was that the Coalition would achieve a shock victory, becoming the first opposition to unseat a federal government after a single term since the Great Depression. Then, as the spotlight turned to then Opposition Leader Peter Dutton, his frontbench, The post Coalition weakness hands Albanese ultimate power appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:54
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MacroBusiness
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:30
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The ferrous complex continues to squeeze with seasonality. Previous squeezes in the past year suggest a price cap around $110. Right where Indian exports will surge. Is there anything to it? Not really. So far, we have had excuses such as Chinese property mega-stimulus. Albo grovelling. A new dam. For example: The massive economic stimulus The post Iron ore short squeeze roars higher appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
The Tally Room
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:28
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Tasmanian election results can often be simplified to totals for each party in each electorate. But votes aren’t cast for parties, they’re cast for candidates. When candidates are elected or excluded, preferences don’t always flow to fellow members of the same party (or “leakage”). A particularly efficient distribution of votes within a party group can also allow a party to compete for an extra seat beyond what the party totals might suggest. For today’s post I will run through the current state of play in terms of vote shares for the key candidates in each electorate, and the other blocks of votes that will come into play. |
Cheeseburger Gothic
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:08
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Last night, with a spare half-hour and my brain fried from a day of reading and writing, I decided to dive into the eleventy million streaming apps on my iPad. The first one I opened, Disney, served up M*A*S*H as an option, and for some reason, the "Captain Tuttle" episode immediately popped into my head. |
MacroBusiness
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 09:00
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Last night saw risk markets barely move on a quiet economic calendar or geopolitical catalysts with only the USD having any reactions as continued trade concerns with the Trump regime pushing for a baseline 15-20% tariff on all EU products sending King Dollar down against everything. Wall Street eked out more record highs with minimal The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 08:59
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MacroBusiness
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 08:00
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Australia is suffering a generational housing shortage amid historically high immigration-driven population growth and sluggish housing supply. In late 2023, the National Cabinet agreed to a new Housing Accord, which would deliver 1.2 million homes over five years, commencing on 1 July 2024. Australian dwelling approvals, commencements, and completions are currently tracking around 25% (60,000) |
Your Democracy
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 05:55
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Former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said he is “quite sad” about what he describes as waning interest in the UK in supporting Ukraine. Speaking to The Telegraph at the Ukrainian embassy in London on Saturday, he lamented that support for Ukraine in the UK is declining. “The interest in Ukraine and the appetite is so low nowadays. I find it quite sad,” Johnson said. |
Your Democracy
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 04:44
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Australians who have been critical of AUKUS have tended to focus on Australian problems with it – it’s too dear, we have neither a nuclear industry nor a nuclear workforce, etc. But very recent events and reported remarks by US Defence official Elbridge Colby show how much of a problem it — or at least the nuclear submarine aspect of it — is for the US.
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Your Democracy
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 04:44
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Pope Leo XIV said the Israeli military’s deadly attack on Gaza’s sole Catholic Church was “just one of the continuous military attacks against the civilian population and places of worship” in the Palestinian enclave. |
MacroBusiness
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 - 00:05
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As shown by the following chart from Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, Australia’s recent productivity growth has been among the worst in the advanced world. Australia’s labour productivity (GDP per hour worked) has experienced virtually zero growth since 2016. Reasons for the productivity decline: I attribute Australia’s poor productivity performance to four main factors. 1) |
Your Democracy
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 22:25
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They lie… We lie and all is well… …. We justify our existence with unbelievable beliefs… The main question is “are we the only species trying to make sense (nonsense) about what we are?” “Are we the only species that can imagine the future beyond our next meal because of hunger or beyond the next session of nit-picking because we itch?” |
MacroBusiness
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 16:30
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Asian share markets are quite mixed in the first trading session of the week as concerns over the Trump regimes bullying of the EU in its “negotiations” over the looming August 1st trade deal are spilling over. The USD is losing ground against all the major currency pairs as a result with Yen also gapping The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 15:07
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Renew Economy
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 14:57
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MacroBusiness
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 14:00
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand released CPI inflation data today, which showed that New Zealand inflation lifted further in Q2 to 2.7%. Major bank ASB noted that while the result wasn’t a surprise, “it is an unwelcome development after NZ endured years of high interest rates to tame rampant inflation”. “The last thing New The post Inflation spike muddies Reserve Bank rate cut outlook appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 13:30
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The state of Victoria’s financial woes is well documented. In 2023-24, the state had the nation’s largest per capita net debt and the lowest credit rating (AA). Per capita state debt was only $3,600 in Labor’s first budget in 2015. It has since climbed to $21,900 and is projected over the budget forward estimates to The post Welcome to Victoria: the insolvency state appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 13:25
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Renew Economy
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 13:19
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MacroBusiness
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 13:00
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Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released monthly data on permanent and long-term arrivals, which suggested that net overseas migration (NOM) may have surged back over the first half of 2025. The 245,900 net arrivals recorded over the first five months of 2025 were the highest on record, surpassing last year’s record of The post Is immigration into Australia surging or falling? appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 12:30
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Iieeeeuuuuuu… Why use an AI when you have the Aussie PM on his knees? The CCP propaganda arm, The Global Times, is cock-a-whoop. Two issues are particularly noteworthy during Albanese’s visit to China, as they have sent a message to the world that Australia is re-balancing its international relationships to assert its core national interests, The post Creepy Albo turns CCP propaganda pin-up boy appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 12:00
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The bubble is back. The Market Ear. Basically buying UBS sees CTAs doubling their equity exposure, adding $60-70bln over the next 2 weeks. They are basically buyers in all scenarios, unless SPX turns below 6k. Source: UBS Retail buying UBS on retail buying (proxied by ETF action): 1. Retail investors sold US stocks from mid-April The post The bubble inflates appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
THE BLOT REPORT
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 11:40
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Having to deal with recent monumentally stupid management decisions in the organisation where I used to work and, until a few months ago, at which I used to volunteer, made me think about some of the stupidity I encountered from management in the past. One of these happened nearly three decades ago. Because of my particular palaeontological expertise, I was asked to be involved in a project with the Northern Territory Geological Survey (NTGS). They were about to begin remapping several 1:250,000 geological map sheets in the Georgina Basin. This basin is enormous and is about 330,000 sq km in size, about the size of modern Germany. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 11:30
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China is not signalling imminent breakout stimulus. Bloomberg. China’s trade with the world is within reasonable bounds and the nation isn’t out to dominate global markets, a senior official said, pointing to figures showing domestic consumption is driving economic growth. “Most of China’s production is intended to meet domestic demand,” Vice Finance Minister Liao Min said in The post China defends economic doom model appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, July 21, 2025 - 11:00
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The housing crisis persists in a significant portion of the nation, and neither the Albanese government nor state governments appear to be making the necessary policy changes to tackle the housing deficit effectively. According to figures from the Albanese government’s National Housing Supply and Affordability Council (NHSAC), the housing deficit is projected to increase annually |