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Articles from MacroBusiness

Macro Morning

June 25, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Risk markets continue to discount all negative news, like the non-existent ceasefire between Iran and Israel, and latched on to Federal Reserve Chair Powells dovish testimony in front of Congress overnight. Wall Street rallied over 1% higher while the USD was sold off again as Euro led the way while the Australian dollar found some

Brisbane house prices are rigged to blow

June 25, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

Brisbane’s median home price has surged by 85% since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020. According to PropTrack, Brisbane’s median dwelling value was $889,000 in May 2025, the second-highest in the nation, behind Sydney. Brisbane dwelling values were already set to rise further owing to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) monetary

Albo’s public housing train wreck

June 25, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

During the Albanese government’s first term, one of the main policy focuses was on public housing. Throughout much of the second half of the government’s first term, various public housing-related policies were major bones of contention, most notably the Housing Australia Future Fund or HAFF. The HAFF provided the Albanese government with a striking headline

Macro Afternoon

June 24, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

Risk markets are buying the rumour, selling the fact with stocks and undollars soaring higher while oil and the USD is slammed lower on the possibility of a “ceasefire” in the Middle East. Lost among this turmoil are the big deals happening in Europe between the EU, Canada and Greenland as the pivot away from

Labor cannot be trusted on gas

June 24, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Major LNG exporters Qatar and the United Arab Emirates rely on passage through the Strait of Hormuz to supply Asian markets. However, Iran has threatened to block the strait, prompting concerns about a possible spike in LNG prices, along with supply worries. However, Federal Resources Minister Madeleine King has sought to assure domestic gas users

It’s time to end the nanny state

June 24, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

The federal government has been advised by eSafety Commissioner Julie Inman Grant to scrap YouTube’s exemption from laws banning people under the age of 16 from using social media, which are scheduled to take effect in December. Former communications minister Michele Rowland had cited YouTube’s educational content as one of the justifications for exempting it

Baby bonus generation adds to housing pressures

June 24, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Net overseas migration is undoubtedly the most significant driver of housing demand in Australia. Australia’s population grew by 445,900 in 2024 (equivalent to a Canberra), driven by net overseas migration of 340,600. Net overseas migration remained above the pre-pandemic peak of 315,700 in Q4 2008, accounting for 76% of total population growth. Another overlooked factor

Victoria disease is spreading to all Australia

June 24, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

S&P with the report. Flash Australia PMI Composite Output Index(1): 51.2 (May: 50.5). 3-month high. Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index(2): 51.3 (May: 50.6). 3-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing Output Index(3): 50.4 (May: 49.8). 2-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI (4): 51.0 (May: 51.0). Growth in new work was notably driven by domestic clients

Proof Aussies don’t want to live in apartments

June 24, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Policymakers want Australians to live in shoebox apartments to alleviate the structural undersupply of housing in our major cities and accommodate endless population growth. Their mandate contradicts the views of Australians, who prefer to live in detached homes. In May, the average price premium for a detached property in Australia’s major cities was 174%, according

Mortgages arrears surge to decade highs

June 24, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

In the debate surrounding the so-called “Mortgage Cliff” and the impact of inflation and higher interest rates on households, the possibility of a strong rise in mortgage arrears has been written off in many quarters. Yet with the release of the latest Residential Mortgage Backed Security (RMBS) data from ratings agency Fitch, that is exactly

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