Wednesday’s Q4 CPI release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has increased pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut the official cash rate. The headline CPI rose by 0.2% in Q4 2024 and the annual rate fell to 2.4% (i.e., around the middle of the RBA’s target band). The policy-relevant trimmed
The latest FOMC meeting has come and gone with only a slight change in language as the US Fed negotiates the new “American Psycho Part 2” volatility. Bond yields jumped a little on the short end of the curve but were largely unchanged while the USD lifted across the board but gave up some of
DXY is back. AUD is buggered again. But auld lead boots got Deepsuckered. The oil pop was specs. Dirt dead cat. Mining meh. EM meh. Junk thinks it can. Bear flattener! Stocks no likee. The Fed has pivoted again. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said officials are not in a rush to lower interest rates,
KPMG Australia is upbeat about the outlook for the housing market in 2025, spurred on by expected interest rate cuts. The firm expects house prices in Sydney to rise by 3.3% this year, followed by 7.8% growth in 2026. Prices in Melbourne are forecast to rise by 3.5% in 2025 and 6% in the following
Swan Bay, first light AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold West Texas Intermediate Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225
The post Macro Afternoon: 29 January 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.
There really is not much more Tony Wood of the Grattan Institute can do to destroy Australia’s energy transition. He helped create the gas cartel by arguing against domestic reservation in 2013, aided by the sponsorship from his former employer and gas cartelier Origin Energy. He is currently arguing that LNG imports are our only
The superannuation guarantee is scheduled to increase to 12% in July, and Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones says the federal government has no plans to expand it further. However, Labor’s national platform in 2023 included setting a ‘pathway’ to increasing the super guarantee to 15% once the initial target of 12% was reached. Jones says the
According to 9News, the Australian Olympic Committee has backed a bold, new proposal by Swimming Australia and other aquatic sports to build a multi-million dollar complex for Brisbane 2032. The Australian Olympic Committee is backing a bold, new proposal by Swimming Australia and other aquatic sports to build a multi-million dollar complex for Brisbane 2032.
Australians have suffered their deepest decline in material living standards in modern history. Real per capita household disposable income has collapsed by more than 8% since the Albanese government took office in Q2 2022, the sharpest decline on record. Australia’s decline in real per capita household disposable income has been among the worst in the
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the consumer price index (CPI) for Q4 2024, which printed below the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) expectations. Three of the Big Four banks forecast that the pivotal “trimmed mean” inflation would be 0.5% in Q4. The fourth Big Four bank (Westpac) was only slightly higher, tipping