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Here comes the recession

April 30, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear on diving US leading indicators.    Post crisis lows VIX at the lowest levels since the early April panic. Note the aggressive VVIX implosion, as well as the latest little bid in VVIX. Volatility is not dirt cheap, but early long volatility positions/hedges are starting to screen attractive again. Our full volatility

Indian students are imports, Chinese students are exports

April 30, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

The composition of Australia’s international student enrolments has changed drastically over the past 20 years. In December 2005, 288,579 overseas students were studying in Australia. China (63,695) dominated enrolments, with India (24,644) in a distant second position. The Department of Education didn’t even list Nepal. Nine years later, in December 2014, 452,965 overseas students enrolled in

Macro Morning

April 30, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

A better night on Wall Street due to better earnings reports and by absorbing the Canadian general election outcome. The USD was able to push back slightly against most of the majors although Pound Sterling remains at a new three year high amid the growing UK/EU detente on trade. The Canadian Loonie firmed slightly on

House prices fade as Aussies wait on RBA

April 30, 2025 - 07:28 -- Admin

CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index, which tracks value growth across the five major capital cities, recorded stalling momentum in April. Across the five major capitals, values rose by only 0.2% over the month, down from 0.4% growth in March. As illustrated below, the slowing in growth was broad-based, led by Sydney, Melbourne, and Adelaide, whereas

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