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Articles from MacroBusiness

Macro Afternoon

May 22, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

Risk markets in Asia are mainly stepping back in response to the falls overnight on Wall Street but more so on the burgeoning bond troubles as the US fiscal position looks to go into permanent deficit decline with the imminent passing of the Trump regime’s “tax” aka wealth redistribution billr. In currency markets, the USD

Victorian government spins Suburban Rail Loop lies

May 22, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

Recent polling by SEC Newgate Australia suggested that Victorians do not consider the $200 billion Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) a high-priority project. The SRL is the state’s largest-ever infrastructure project. Yet, it was barely mentioned in Victorian Treasurer Jaclyn Symes budget speech on Tuesday. The only mention of the SRL was the following spin: “The

The Liz Truss market returns

May 22, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

The Market on the return of bad. Pausing SPX reversed right on the huge 6k resistance. First bigger support at 5800. Note the slightly negative RSI divergence. Source: LSEG Workspace Risk love Global Equity Risk-Love jumps to the neutral zone from the Panic levels witnessed in April. BofA writes: “Washed-out sentiment, followed by marked improvement

MB Fund Podcast: Will Interest Rate Cuts Re-ignite The Housing Market?

May 22, 2025 - 12:05 -- Admin

Join us in this week’s investment podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, and Chief Economist, Leith van Onselen, discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate cut and explore its impact on residential housing and the broader economy. Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up on the content via Podcasts or our recorded Videos.

A decade of budget negligence

May 22, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

The financial destruction of the State of Victoria over the past decade is astonishing. In the Labor government’s first state budget in 2015, Victoria’s net debt was only $22.3 billion. It has since climbed to $155.5 billion and is projected over the budget forward estimates to hit $194 billion by 2028-29. Victorian net debt per

Lift wages to boost productivity

May 22, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The federal government recently used its submission to the Fair Work Commission’s (FWC) annual wage review to call for an “economically sustainable” increase in the minimum wage. FWC president Justice Adam Hatcher has asked the Treasury whether wage growth forecasts of 3.1% to 3.25% in 2025-26 would be consistent with inflation staying within the Reserve

Australian dollar bulls charge back

May 22, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

DXY no bueno. AUD bueno. Lead boots going nowhere. Gold bueno. Metals no bueno. Miners no bueno. EM no bueno. Junk no bueno. Yields very no bueno. Stocks no bueno. Here’s the issue. The Trump administration has no credibility with markets after the tariff debacle. Now it is going to unleash its tax cut bill

International student ‘exports’ turn hungry, broke imports

May 22, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

I have often argued that the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) reported $51 billion of education exports is exaggerated and grossly overstates the benefits of international students to the Australian economy. The ABS calculates this remarkable export figure using “an average spend estimate from Tourism Research Australia … supplemented by the addition of total expenditure

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