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Politicians light match under Aussie house prices

April 2, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

Regardless of which party wins the upcoming federal election, a match will be lit under Australian house prices. Labor Treasurer Jim Chalmers announced in February that Australia’s financial regulators will be required to loosen home lending rules for millions of Australians with student loans. The changes will mean that a borrower’s student debts will be

Macro Afternoon

April 1, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

Asian stock markets are doing somewhat better in response to the late rebound on Wall Street overnight but a big air of caution remains as the new month gets underway and the world awaits the onslaught of the new tariffs from the Trump regime tomorrow on April 2nd. The USD is pushing back against most

Electric vehicle industry begs for subsidies

April 1, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Electric vehicles have been heavily subsidised in Australia. A recent analysis by the Institute of Public Accountants estimated that the federal budget has lost approximately $564 million annually in tax revenue due to the Fringe Benefits Tax (FBT) exemption for battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs). More than 100,000 novated leases for

Chinese PMIs caught in Titanic undertow

April 1, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

Chinese PMIs are meh. Manufacturing is barely growing. Services likewise.   All those government bonds are doing something, but it isn’t much. Why? Bloomberg. The property crisis that hobbled China’s economy and created a nearly $160 billion pile of distressed debt — the world’s largest — is getting worse. Signs of trouble are now popping

Retail sales going nowhere

April 1, 2025 - 11:56 -- Admin

Via ABS. The February 2025 seasonally adjusted estimate: Rose 0.2% month-on-month. Rose 3.6% compared with February 2024. Is that a trend reversal developing from weak improvement to failing improvement?  Barely running at the pace of inflation and adjusted for population growth going backwards in February. 

Tariffs to the moon, stocks to hell

April 1, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

JPM kicks us off. Country-Level: we look at Australia, Japan, and the UK as being relative safety havens. China may work, too, given the potential to add fiscal stimulus but that is a lower conviction long. US Sector Level: Energy and Utilities (ex-AI plays) are the two best longs and look for Lower-Income Discretionary and higher beta

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