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Macro Afternoon

August 15, 2025 - 16:00 -- Admin

Asian share markets were dominated by Chinese data today with weakness across their domestic economy while Japanese GDP data came in slightly better than expected. Most markets are up as a result as Chinese traders expect more stimulus while the BOJ seems to be faring okay with its inflationary targets not pulling back growth. The

New Zealand house prices plummet

August 15, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has slashed the official cash rate (OCR) by 2.25%, with further rate cuts expected. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, the reduction in the OCR has driven down the cost of new mortgages, which should have lifted housing demand and stimulated home prices. However, home values

Why Australian house prices are two-speed

August 15, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Since the COVID-19 lockdowns started in Australia in March 2020, the nation’s capital city home prices have risen at vastly different rates. As illustrated below using PropTrack data, dwelling values in Brisbane, Perth, and Adelaide have soared at similar rates, increasing by around 90% since March 2020 across the three markets. Sydney dwelling values have

Bubble trouble

August 15, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear on bubble trouble. Pushing it SPX trying to break above the Bollinger band. Not a reason to sell itself, as markets can stay in the upper Bollinger band for longer than most think possible, but still worth watching. Source: Bloomberg/GS Concentration “Growing index concentration and narrowing market breadth has increased downside risk

Indebted households can no longer power the economy

August 15, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Record public spending has recently powered the Australian economy. At the same time, Australian households have exhibited recessionary behaviour, with real per capita household consumption tracking negative for seven consecutive quarters on an annual basis, down 2.4% from its peak. The decline in household spending, which usually accounts for about 60% of GDP growth, is

Iron ore bashed lower

August 15, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

The ferrous complex was smacked yesterday. ANZ has done a good job of calling the top. The iron ore market continues to shrug off ongoing weakness in China’s property sector. The prospect of further rationalisation of its steel industry could add further support to prices. …A pullback in steel output in recent months has improved

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