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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Australian Treasury’s propaganda modelling, released ahead of the introduction of the Albanese government’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers, forecast that the policy would only lift home values by a cumulative 0.6% over a six-year period. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Housing Minister Clare O’Neil used Treasury’s modelling to deflect allegations that the policy

The post Treasury housing propaganda exposed appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Viktor Schvets’ Convergence of Storms is not a good outlook for Australia. Schvets’ “Convergence of Storms” sees five converging revolutions. The first storm is demographics: ageing populations, below-replacement fertility, and shrinking workforces reduce long-term growth potential, raise dependency ratios, and put enormous strain on pension systems and public finances. With fewer workers supporting more retirees,

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Renew Economy Monday, November 24, 2025 - 12:10 Source
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Your Democracy Monday, November 24, 2025 - 12:09 Source

The nature of time has plagued thinkers for as long as we’ve tried to understand the world we live in. Intuitively, we know what time is, but try to explain it, and we end up tying our minds in knots.

St. Augustine of Hippo, a theologian whose writings influenced western philosophy, captured a paradoxical challenge in trying to articulate time more than 1,600 years ago:

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Coalition has one more round of bloodletting before it can try to compete. Andrew Hastie has emerged as the most popular preferred Opposition Leader behind Sussan Ley, as the Coalition’s primary vote remains stuck at record low levels, despite the Liberals and Nationals dumping net zero and promising tougher migration policies. A Newspoll published on the eve

The post Coaltion drops the wrong ‘net zero’ appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The outlook Australians hold for the future has been deeply sub-par for a long while now, with the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index sitting dramatically below the post-1990 level and roughly where it was during the Global Financial Crisis. While elements of the index have undergone a recovery, the forward-looking subindexes remain in deeply concerning

The post A Christmas spending recession? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Market Ear with the update. Sellers spent? Here’s a curated collection of the best charts and trading-desk stats from overnight. Across hedge funds, CTAs, and long-onlies, positioning data suggests that most of the selling pressure may already be behind us. Beautiful bounce S&P 500 with a beautiful bounce off the 100-day moving average just

The post Tech puke over? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The poor economics of green hydrogen have led to widespread project cancellations across Australia and globally, including in China. According to the Australian Financial Review, “more than 130 projects linked to hydrogen have received federal taxpayer money going back to 2017, according to the government’s grants register. While many pre-date this government, easily the largest came

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The policy process in Canberra is broken. The government of the day refuses to budge on any national interest reform that threatens vested interests. As the polity grows increasingly agitated due to this inaction, the vested interests realise that their social license to operate is under attack. Over time, it is a risk they cannot

The post And now for fake gas reservation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Monday, November 24, 2025 - 09:38 Source

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here.

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 09:30 Source

On Wednesday this week, the ABS will finally release a full monthly CPI series that will ultimately replace the quarterly measure. Nowcasting measures suggest inflation is already falling back from the recent energy shock. As we know, the RBA pause has kicked the consumer in the teeth. And other measures are also weakening. Energy has

The post Aussie inflation is falling back appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street rebounded again on Friday night on renewed hope that the December rate cut maybe in play all due to the comments of Fed NY Chair Williams. This is going to probably lead to a significant lift on Asian share markets this morning, with SPI futures up at least 1% plus increased chances of

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, November 24, 2025 - 08:53 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The rorting of Australia’s immigration system seems never-ending. In addition to the widespread rorting of the student and working holiday maker program and the blowout in asylum seeker claims and bridging visas, Australia’s partner visa program is also being ruthlessly rorted. In 2018, Dr Bob Birrell from the Australian Population Research Institute and former immigration

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Your Democracy Monday, November 24, 2025 - 05:14 Source

The Security Council’s backing of the Trump plan for Gaza ignores international law, punishes the Palestinians, and rewards those responsible for genocide.

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Your Democracy Monday, November 24, 2025 - 05:00 Source

The EU has reportedly rejected the Ukraine peace deal drafted by the White House, putting forward its own set of conditions for a potential agreement.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen made the announcement on Sunday as US officials were discussing Washington’s proposal with EU and Ukrainian representatives in Geneva, Switzerland.

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Your Democracy Monday, November 24, 2025 - 04:33 Source

THE PICTURE USED ON THE SPECTATOR ARTICLE IS EITHER DESIGNED TO REPRESENT THE CRAPPY SPECTATOR VIEW ON GLOBAL WARMING OR TO STIR THE POSSUM. GUS THINKS THAT THE SPECTATOR VIEWS ARE BROUGHT FORTH TO SLOW DOWN OUR EFFORTS TO MITIGATE WHAT IS CHANGING CLIMATE INDICATORS OF PLANET EARTH, INCLUDING UNDENIABLE RISING TEMPERATURE. HERE IS THE ARTICLE:

 

It’s not science if you can’t question it

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MacroBusiness Monday, November 24, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The latest batch of auction and home price data suggests that the steam may be coming out of the nation’s housing market following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to keep interest rates on hold. Cotality’s auction clearance rates have been moderating since September, which historically has been a leading indicator for price growth.

The post Australia’s housing market runs out of puff appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 20:46 Source
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MacroBusiness Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 18:35 Source

By Ashwin Clarke, Senior Economist at CBA Wages measured by the Wage Price Index rose by 0.8%/qtr held up by strength in state government enterprise agreements, in line with both our, consensus, and the RBA’s expectations. The annual rate remained at 3.4%. The Minutes of the November Monetary Policy Board meeting highlight the key questions

The post The economic week ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 16:14 Source
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Renew Economy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 15:46 Source
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Your Democracy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 15:16 Source

Thierry Meyssan had already drawn his readers’ attention to the bias of the United Nations Secretariat. Here, he revisits the controversy between Germany, France, and the United Kingdom and Russia, Iran, and China regarding the coherence of international law. This is not about technical legal issues, but rather about either the superiority of the Western perspective or the hierarchy of international norms.

 

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Renew Economy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 14:55 Source
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Your Democracy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 12:41 Source

The Venezuelan parliament has approved a 15-year extension of joint ventures between state company PDVSA and Russian oil firm Roszarubezhneft, according to a statement on the National Assembly’s website.

The deepening energy cooperation comes despite sweeping US sanctions on both nations and amid accusations that Washington wants to depose President Nicolas Maduro under the guise of an anti-drug campaign.

 

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Your Democracy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 09:36 Source

Ukraine said Saturday that its officials will meet US counterparts in Switzerland to discuss Washington’s proposed peace plan. Kyiv will seek to push back against provisions that mirror some of Moscow’s toughest demands, while European leaders said the US plan "is a basis which will require additional work". 

 

European leaders say US plan for Ukraine 'requires additional work' ahead of Geneva talks

 

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Your Democracy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 07:47 Source

 

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Your Democracy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 06:55 Source

Hosting a UN climate summit should be about global cooperation on combating climate change. Australia’s bid for COP31 reveals how far COP has drifted.

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Your Democracy Sunday, November 23, 2025 - 05:44 Source

Ukraine Russia Peace Proposal:THE LATEST /Lt Col Daniel Davis

 

Danny discusses recent developments around the 28-point Ukraine peace plan. On the Ukrainian side, President Zelensky is under increasing pressure from the United States to accept a peace deal. Reports suggest that ... President Trump gave a 7-day ultimatum in late November, threatening to cut U.S. aid unless Ukraine agreed to end the war under the proposed terms.

 

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John Quiggin Saturday, November 22, 2025 - 14:02 Source

The US is one big grift these days: the Trump Administration, traditional and social media, corporations, crypto, financial markets are all selling some kind of spurious promise. It’s hard to pick the most egregious example. But for me, it’s hard to go past Tesla. Having lost its dominant position in the electric car market, the company ought to be on the edge of delisting. Instead, its current market capitalisation is $US1.33 trillion ($A 2 trillion). Shareholders have just agreed on an incentive deal with Elon Musk, premised on the claim that he can take that number to $8.5 trillion.

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